Posts

Showing posts with the label markets

Data highlights Bitcoin's potential path to $40K amid global economic turbulence

Image
Robust BTC derivatives data indicates strong demand for leverage longs. Bitcoin (BTC) has been trading within a narrow 4.5% range over the past two weeks, indicating a level of consolidation around the $34,700 mark.  Despite the stagnant prices, the 24.2% gains since Oct. 7 instill confidence, driven by the impending effects of the 2024 halving and the potential approval of a Bitcoin spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the United States. Investors worry about the bearish global economic outlook Bears expect further macroeconomic data supporting a global economic contraction as the U.S. Federal Reserve holds their interest rate above 5.25% in order to curb inflation. For instance, on Nov. 6, China exports shrank 6.4% from a year earlier in October. Furthermore, Germany reported October industrial production down 1.4% versus prior month on Nov. 7. The weaker global economic activity has led to WTI oil prices dipping below $78 for the first time since late July, despite the potential ...

FOMC versus BTC price 'local bottom' — 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week

Image
Bitcoin network fundamentals have never looked better, as optimism trickles back when it comes to BTC price strength in a key Fed rate decision week. Bitcoin (BTC) starts the new week with optimism as traders greet the first green weekly candle in over a month. BTC price strength appears to be gradually improving after a weak August and start of September, with BTC/USD climbing toward $27,000. A solid weekly close provides the backdrop to what promises to be an interesting few days, which will include a key United States macroeconomic event as a potential volatility driver. The Federal Reserve will meet to decide on interest rate policy — and any surprises could have significant repercussions for risk assets, including crypto. Elsewhere, things are looking promising for Bitcoin, with network fundamentals set to surge higher to new records. Strength “under the hood” is similarly being reflected in hodler behavior, with wallet numbers continuing to shoot higher regardless of BTC price ...

Are NFT markets in a death spiral or ready for a resurgence?

Image
NFTs have taken a massive hit since the 2021 bull market, but some experts say they could make a comeback. Nonfungible tokens (NFTs) saw a massive surge in popularity in 2021, accompanied by sky-high prices, but the market has since come crashing back to earth, and it’s unclear whether there will be a resurgence .  NFTs are unique digital tokens recorded on a blockchain to certify ownership and authenticity. They can’t be copied or substituted but can be transferred and sold by their owner. According to analytics platform NFTGo, the NFT market cap valued in Ether (ETH) is down 40.59% over the past year at the time of writing, with trading volume down 40.81%. The market cap in U.S. dollars is down 41.16%, and its volume has dropped 66.77%. At the same time, market sentiment is ranked 13 out of 100, with an overall rating of “cold.” The NFT market has fallen even further in the latter half of 2023. Source: NFTGo Arno Bauer, senior solution architect at BNB Chain, told Cointelegraph ...

Double top 'likely' confirmed — 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week

Image
BTC price weakness shows as Bitcoin analysts debate the likelihood of a return toward $20,000. Bitcoin (BTC) begins a key macro week in a weak place as 2023 BTC action begins to look like a “double top.” After a disappointing weekly close below $26,000, BTC/USD is struggling to catch a bid amid a return to low volatility. Analysts, already predicting downside, continue to forecast new local lows, and liquidity conditions are increasingly supporting their argument. Are there any silver linings on the horizon? One on-chain metric suggests that Bitcoin is “in the midst” of a major shakeout akin to March 2020. A rebound to “fair value” may also come courtesy of Bitcoin’s relative strength index (RSI), which has almost fully retraced its year-to-date gains to reach its lowest levels since the first week of January. Cointelegraph takes a look at these topics and more in the weekly rundown of key BTC price triggers. Weekly close makes BTC price double top a reality Bitcoin closing out the we...

The Fed could lose $100B — Does this spell catastrophe for Bitcoin?

Image
On the latest episode of “Macro Markets,” Marcel Pechman explains the potential implications for crypto of the Federal Reserve losing $100 billion. On this week's episode of “Macro Markets,” Cointelegraph analyst Marcel Pechman delves into a thought-provoking discussion on the United States Federal Reserve’s financial woes. Pechman opens by highlighting how the Fed is grappling with staggering losses and emphasizes a fundamental macroeconomic principle: that overall wealth cannot be universally enhanced as demand for goods and services grows. This discrepancy underscores the challenges posed by inflation, real estate prices and the consequences of the Fed’s policies. Pechman concludes that the Fed is now paying the price for its loose monetary approach during the pandemic, prompting a grim outlook for the U.S. Treasury Department’s finances. Shifting gears, Pechman moves on to discuss European markets, with a spotlight on Novo Nordisk’s remarkable ascent. The Danish pharmaceutical...

Price analysis 8/21: SPX, DXY, BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, DOGE, SOL, DOT

Image
Bitcoin and select altcoins are starting to recover, but selling at the top of each price breakout suggests that bears remain in control. After the sharp fall on Aug. 17, Bitcoin (BTC) remained stuck inside a tight range over the weekend. This suggests indecision between the bulls and the bears about the next directional move.  After the latest fall, about 88% of Bitcoin held by Short-term Holders (STHs), owning Bitcoin for 155 days or less, has plunged into loss, according to Glassnode’s weekly newsletter, “The Week On-Chain.” Glassnode warns that the STH cohort is “increasingly price sensitive.” In comparison, the long-term holders have neither panicked nor gone on a shopping spree during the current fall. Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360 Traders are likely to keep a close watch on the United States Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech at the annual Jackson Hole Economic Symposium on Aug. 25. If Powell does not spring a negative surprise, then the ...

Bitcoin vs. gold: Are market cap and other comparisons actually relevant for investors?

Image
Bitcoin’s future price surge and mainstream adoption could happen independently of institutional adoption of the digital currency. The connection between Bitcoin and gold goes back to Bitcoin’s origin. While it is not mentioned in the Bitcoin white paper, Satoshi Nakamoto actually referred to gold’s rarity in a Bitcointalk forum post when introducing the first version of Bitcoin (BTC) in 2009. This was to emphasize the importance of a limited supply of 21 million coins. Bitcoin’s market value is frequently matched up against gold, which boasts a total worth of $12.8 trillion, and many crypto pundits often point to the approval of a gold exchange-traded fund (ETF) in 2004 as the catalyst for the asset’s price appreciation. Currently, Bitcoin encounters resistance at the $30,000 mark, and its inability to surpass this level could lie in how institutional investors perceive the comparison of BTC and gold as stores of value. Bitcoin’s present market cap of $570 billion outshines traditi...

Price analysis 8/7: SPX, DXY, BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, DOGE, SOL, LTC

Image
Bitcoin’s failure to rebound off strong support may open further downside as bears may be tempted to sell. Bitcoin (BTC) has been trading near the $29,000 level for the past few days. This suggests a lack of strong demand at higher levels but the only solace for the bulls is that they have managed to sustain the price above the immediate support. The uncertainty about the next directional move may have tempted short-term traders to book profits. CoinShares said in its latest weekly report that Bitcoin investment products witnessed $111 million in outflows, the largest weekly outflows since March. Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360 While the short-term price action remains uninspiring, crypto bulls remain confident that Bitcoin will rally before its next halving in 2024. Blockstream CEO Adam Back said in a conversation on X (previously known as Twitter) that Bitcoin will hit $100,000 by the end of March. Could Bitcoin extend its decline in the near term or will i...

Bitcoin bulls 'have work to do' after XRP price spikes 104%

Image
Bitcoin may have tagged new yearly highs, but BTC price performance still needs to prove itself with a range breakout, traders argue. Bitcoin (BTC) consolidated near $31,000 on July 14 after a classic short squeeze sparked new yearly highs. BTC/USD 1-day chart. Source: TradingView BTC liquidates $50 million shorts in new squeeze Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC price movements returning to cement support after rapid gains the day prior. Already tipped for a trip higher, Bitcoin reacted instantly to news that a United States judge had supported the idea that altcoin XRP (XRP) was not a security. This was taken by markets as a blow to regulator the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), which in recent months had sought to label altcoins as securities en masse. XRP/USD immediately spiked by over 100%, almost touching the $1 mark before returning to trade near $0.80 at the time of writing. The last time that such levels formed part of the chart was in Ap...